Bundesliga · 2025Voith-Arena

1. FC Heidenheim 0–3 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 0–3.

Shots
711
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
1.261.69
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat 1. FC Heidenheim 3–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – RB Leipzig): shots 7–11, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 1.26–1.69, possession 26%–74%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Heidenheim · RB Leipzig16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimRB LeipzigBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

RB Leipzig's recent record differs from the season

weak

RB Leipzig's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for 1. FC Heidenheim.

7 days ▲Rest days1. FC Heidenheim · RB Leipzig6.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric1. FC HeidenheimRB LeipzigBaseline
Rest days7 days6.88 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots11 shots1. FC Heidenheim 7 shots, RB Leipzig 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shots1. FC Heidenheim 2 shots, RB Leipzig 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.69 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.26 xG, RB Leipzig 1.69 xG
  • Possession26%74%1. FC Heidenheim 26%, RB Leipzig 74%
  • Corners4 corners0 corners1. FC Heidenheim 4 corners, RB Leipzig 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 10 fouls, RB Leipzig 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cards1. FC Heidenheim 1 card, RB Leipzig 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 70′ · 0.05 xG · goalAntonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 68′ · 0.07 xG · goalAntonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 53′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRidle Baku · RB Leipzig · 62′ · 0.10 xG · goalRômulo · RB Leipzig · 53′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 53′ · 0.14 xG · on targetXaver Schlager · RB Leipzig · 53′ · 0.15 xG · on targetChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 53′ · 0.28 xG · on targetBenedikt Gimber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 65′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 13′ · 0.39 xG · on targetXaver Schlager · RB Leipzig · 59′ · 0.62 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.27 xG. RB Leipzig: 11 shots, 8 on target, 1.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ridle Baku · RB Leipzig · 62′Antonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 68′David Raum · RB Leipzig · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.27 xG · RB Leipzig 1.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Heidenheim
1Draws
4RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–0
RB Leipzig — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–2
1. FC Heidenheim — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Heidenheim — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–2
RB Leipzig — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim19 matchesRB Leipzig18 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored19/18▲ 2 goals/match
2.21 goals/matchGoals allowed19/18▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals19/18▲ 1.93 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots19/18▲ 16.3 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on target19/18▲ 5.83 shots/match
41.9%Possession19/18● 51.8%
4.74 corners/matchCorners19/18● 5.56 corners/match
1.74 cards/matchCards19/181.39 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls19/189.39 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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