Bundesliga · 2025Fri, 9 Jan 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap

Eintracht Frankfurt

WDLWD

3–3Full-time recap

Borussia Dortmund

DWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Eintracht Frankfurt	Borussia Dortmund
Shots	12 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	6 shots/match
Possession	40%	60%
Corners	2 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	6 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.06 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	2.06 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Eintracht Frankfurt

1Draws

0Borussia Dortmund

28 Oct 2025Eintracht Frankfurt — Borussia Dortmund · DFB Pokal1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 4 · 7 too close

2.06 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.81 goals/match

2.06 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲0.94 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

12.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1612.1 shots/match

11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1611.1 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/164.5 shots/match

4.31 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲3.31 shots/match

54.3%Possessionseason · 16/1653.1%

4.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/165.19 corners/match

3.25 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/164.75 corners/match

1.63 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 16/161.88 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲50%

88%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt80.6

Borussia Dortmund69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt66.7

Borussia Dortmund53.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt56.5

Borussia Dortmund91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt13.9

Borussia Dortmund8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt33.3

Borussia Dortmund52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt30.6

Borussia Dortmund69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt47.9

Borussia Dortmund56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11 shots/match▲Shots5/510 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

50.6%Possession5/548%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.1 shots/match

4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104 shots/match

53.4%Possession10/1050.3%

4 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

1.3 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

2.06 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.81 goals/match

2.06 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲0.94 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.5 shots/matchShots16/1612.1 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target16/164.5 shots/match

54.3%Possession16/1653.1%

4.69 corners/matchCorners16/165.19 corners/match

1.63 cards/matchCards16/161.88 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches

1.88 goals/match▲Goals scored8/91.78 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/9▲1.22 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.1 shots/match▲Shots8/910.8 shots/match

4.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/94 shots/match

52.9%Possession8/951.3%

4.88 corners/matchCorners8/93.44 corners/match

1.38 cards/matchCards8/92.56 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls8/911.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Jan 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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