PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 1–1.

Shots
99
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.751.59
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Hamburger SV – Eintracht Frankfurt): shots 9–9, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.75–1.59, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hamburger SV's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hamburger SV's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.5%PossessionHamburger SV · Eintracht Frankfurt● 55.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHamburger SVEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Possession46.5%55.3%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsHamburger SV 9 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsHamburger SV 3 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.59 xGHamburger SV 0.75 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.59 xG
  • Possession40%60%Hamburger SV 40%, Eintracht Frankfurt 60%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersHamburger SV 5 corners, Eintracht Frankfurt 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsHamburger SV 8 fouls, Eintracht Frankfurt 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards0 cardsHamburger SV 0 cards, Eintracht Frankfurt 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Robin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiro Muheim · Hamburger SV · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRansford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRayan Philippe · Hamburger SV · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRansford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Mikelbrencis · Hamburger SV · 27′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLuka Vušković · Hamburger SV · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Hamburger SV · 19′ · 0.12 xG · goalAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Hamburger SV · 27′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 59′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 73′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Mikelbrencis · Hamburger SV · 45′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 77′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Brown · Eintracht Frankfurt · 77′ · 0.40 xG · on targetHugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 26′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hamburger SV: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.78 xG. Eintracht Frankfurt: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Albert Sambi Lokonga · Hamburger SV · 19′Hugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hamburger SV 0.78 xG · Eintracht Frankfurt 1.54 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hamburger SV favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hamburger SV15 matchesEintracht Frankfurt15 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 2 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/152 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.47 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots15/1512.5 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target15/154.4 shots/match
46.5%Possession15/15● 55.3%
3.8 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.87 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards15/151.53 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHamburger SVEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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