PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 14:30 UTCFull timeWWK ArenaFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC AugsburgWerder Bremen
Shots14 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession53%47%
Corners6 corners/match11 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match20 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen have a visible away split

moderate

Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Augsburg favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Werder Bremen in 2 · 9 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/15▲1.2 goals/match
1.87 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/151.87 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1512.1 shots/match
13.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1515.9 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/154.2 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/156.27 shots/match
45.7%Possessionseason · 15/1548.3%
4.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/154.33 corners/match
4.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/155.73 corners/match
3.07 cards/matchCardsseason · 15/153.07 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1510.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲27%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1567%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Augsburg19.4
Werder Bremen52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Augsburg32.4
Werder Bremen34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Augsburg39.8
Werder Bremen10.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Augsburg75
Werder Bremen41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Augsburg87.5
Werder Bremen66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Augsburg25
Werder Bremen19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Augsburg44.5
Werder Bremen31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
44.4%Possession5/545.4%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/53.6 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.7 shots/matchShots10/1012.7 shots/match
4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match
44.8%Possession10/1048.4%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards10/103.3 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.2 goals/match
1.87 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.87 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.5 shots/matchShots15/1512.1 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target15/154.2 shots/match
45.7%Possession15/1548.3%
4.4 corners/matchCorners15/154.33 corners/match
3.07 cards/matchCards15/153.07 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.25 goals/match
1.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots8/810.1 shots/match
4.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.88 shots/match
47.5%Possession8/846.5%
5.5 corners/matchCorners8/84.25 corners/match
2.88 cards/matchCards8/82.63 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/810.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.83 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFC AugsburgWerder Bremen
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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