PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timeWeserstadionFull-time recap
0–4Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWerder BremenVfB Stuttgart
Shots9 shots/match24 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match12 shots/match▲
Possession37%63%
Corners0 corners/match9 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

VfB Stuttgart show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match▲ShotsWerder Bremen · VfB Stuttgart15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWerder BremenVfB StuttgartBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match12.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.79 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 10 · 4 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲1.79 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.57 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲15.9 shots/match
16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲12.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲5.64 shots/match
6.29 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲4.71 shots/match
48.4%Possessionseason · 14/1458.4%
3.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.79 corners/match
5.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲4.43 corners/match
3 cards/matchCardsseason · 14/14▲1.93 cards/match
9.79 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1410.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲36%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲93%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Werder Bremen52.8
VfB Stuttgart86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Werder Bremen43.5
VfB Stuttgart81.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Werder Bremen7.4
VfB Stuttgart59.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Werder Bremen41.7
VfB Stuttgart69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Werder Bremen61.2
VfB Stuttgart43
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Werder Bremen13.9
VfB Stuttgart88.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Werder Bremen35.4
VfB Stuttgart75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
2.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
48%Possession5/557.2%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.5 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.8 shots/match
47.8%Possession10/1058.3%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
2.9 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.79 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.57 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.4 shots/matchShots14/14▲15.9 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲5.64 shots/match
48.4%Possession14/1458.4%
3.86 corners/matchCorners14/145.79 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards14/141.93 cards/match
9.79 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/8▲2 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/matchShots7/8▲15.8 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲5.63 shots/match
50.3%Possession7/860.8%
4.43 corners/matchCorners7/86.5 corners/match
3.57 cards/matchCards7/81.88 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/810.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWerder BremenVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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