PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 14:30 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFC Augsburg
Shots11 shots/match12 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession51%49%
Corners2 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.07 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.9%▲PossessionEintracht Frankfurt · FC Augsburg45.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFC AugsburgBaseline
Possession54.9%45.2%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 0 · 6 too close

2.07 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.21 goals/match
2.07 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/142 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/1412.4 shots/match
11.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1413.9 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/143.93 shots/match
4.29 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/144.71 shots/match
54.9%Possessionseason · 14/1445.2%
4.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/144.29 corners/match
3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/144.36 corners/match
1.64 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 14/143.07 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1412.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
21%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1414%
86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt80.6
FC Augsburg19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt64.8
FC Augsburg34.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt54.6
FC Augsburg36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt19.4
FC Augsburg75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt26.4
FC Augsburg88.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt36.1
FC Augsburg25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt46.5
FC Augsburg45.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match
52.4%Possession5/541.4%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots10/1012.1 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match
53.5%Possession10/1044.7%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
1.3 cards/matchCards10/103 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
2.07 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.21 goals/match
2.07 goals/matchGoals allowed14/142 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShots14/1412.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target14/143.93 shots/match
54.9%Possession14/1445.2%
4.86 corners/matchCorners14/144.29 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCards14/143.07 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match
1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shots7/712.1 shots/match
4.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.86 shots/match
54.7%Possession7/743.7%
5.29 corners/matchCorners7/73.14 corners/match
1.14 cards/matchCards7/73.29 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls7/713.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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