PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025WWK Arena

FC Augsburg 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 2–0.

Shots
1320
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.281.63
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat Bayer Leverkusen 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – Bayer Leverkusen): shots 13–20, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.28–1.63, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.31 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer Leverkusen have a visible away split

moderate

Bayer Leverkusen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.9%PossessionFC Augsburg · Bayer Leverkusen● 59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgBayer LeverkusenBaseline
Possession44.9%59.7%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots20 shotsFC Augsburg 13 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 20 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsFC Augsburg 6 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG1.63 xGFC Augsburg 1.28 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.63 xG
  • Possession32%68%FC Augsburg 32%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 68%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersFC Augsburg 5 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls6 foulsFC Augsburg 12 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsFC Augsburg 4 cards, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edmond Tapsoba · Bayer Leverkusen · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedErnest Poku · Bayer Leverkusen · 11′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 47′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEliesse Ben Seghir · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer Leverkusen · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · Bayer Leverkusen · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer Leverkusen · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMalik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnton Kade · FC Augsburg · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAleix García · Bayer Leverkusen · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Fellhauer · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnton Kade · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetErnest Poku · Bayer Leverkusen · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedErnest Poku · Bayer Leverkusen · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMalik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMads Pedersen · FC Augsburg · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer Leverkusen · 44′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAnton Kade · FC Augsburg · 69′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 75′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedClaudio Echeverri · Bayer Leverkusen · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Bayer Leverkusen · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 43′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 26′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMalik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 75′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 49′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 79′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 61′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 73′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAnton Kade · FC Augsburg · 28′ · 0.29 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 52′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedDimitrios Giannoulis · FC Augsburg · 6′ · 0.39 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.56 xG. Bayer Leverkusen: 20 shots, 2 on target, 1.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Dimitrios Giannoulis · FC Augsburg · 6′Anton Kade · FC Augsburg · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 1.56 xG · Bayer Leverkusen 1.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Augsburg
0Draws
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–0
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–1
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–1
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg13 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen13 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 2.15 goals/match
2.08 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.46 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.72 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.77 shots/match
44.9%Possession13/13● 59.7%
4.15 corners/matchCorners13/13● 4.85 corners/match
3.08 cards/matchCards13/132.62 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls13/138.62 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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