PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Voith-Arena

1. FC Heidenheim 2–1 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 2–1.

Shots
1615
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
2.220.84
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat SC Freiburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – SC Freiburg): shots 16–15, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 2.22–0.84, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SC Freiburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.2%Possession1. FC Heidenheim · SC Freiburg● 51.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimSC FreiburgBaseline
Possession41.2%51.2%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots15 shots1. FC Heidenheim 16 shots, SC Freiburg 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shots1. FC Heidenheim 3 shots, SC Freiburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.22 xG0.84 xG1. FC Heidenheim 2.22 xG, SC Freiburg 0.84 xG
  • Possession38%62%1. FC Heidenheim 38%, SC Freiburg 62%
  • Corners8 corners6 corners1. FC Heidenheim 8 corners, SC Freiburg 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 11 fouls, SC Freiburg 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 card1. FC Heidenheim 2 cards, SC Freiburg 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Niklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLukas Kübler · SC Freiburg · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYuito Suzuki · SC Freiburg · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThomas Keller · 1. FC Heidenheim · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 40′ · 0.04 xG · goalVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYuito Suzuki · SC Freiburg · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulian Niehues · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLukas Kübler · SC Freiburg · 19′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · SC Freiburg · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · SC Freiburg · 55′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 89′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJan-Niklas Beste · SC Freiburg · 80′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 1′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 67′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 20′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.45 xG · goalPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 59′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 16 shots, 3 on target, 2.25 xG. SC Freiburg: 15 shots, 2 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Patrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 59′Stefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′Johan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 2.25 xG · SC Freiburg 0.84 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Heidenheim
1Draws
2SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga1–0
1. FC Heidenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–3
SC Freiburg — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Heidenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim13 matchesSC Freiburg13 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.54 goals/match
2.15 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.69 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.5 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 12.2 shots/match
3.46 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 3.77 shots/match
41.2%Possession13/13● 51.2%
4.85 corners/match ●Corners13/134.69 corners/match
1.69 cards/matchCards13/131.54 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls13/138.85 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-head1. FC Heidenheim — SC Freiburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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