UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeBayArenaFull-time recap

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

DDLWW

2–2Full-time recap

Newcastle United

LWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Newcastle United
Shots	17 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.27 xG/match	2.07 xG/match▲
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	9 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.46 xG. Newcastle United: 13 shots, 5 on target, 2.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.46 xG · Newcastle United 2.04 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 9 · 4 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲2.17 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1 goals/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲1.96 xG/match

1.74 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.06 xG/match

11 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲13.8 shots/match

15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲15 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲6.67 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲5.33 shots/match

47%Possessionseason · 6/649.2%

4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/66 corners/match

5.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/67.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.17 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/69.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲50%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen27.4

Newcastle United40.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen29.3

Newcastle United71.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen22.4

Newcastle United48.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen20.2

Newcastle United56

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen10.7

Newcastle United14.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen42.9

Newcastle United83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen22.6

Newcastle United57.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.37 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.06 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.6 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.8 shots/match

43.6%Possession5/551.8%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.17 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1 goals/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.96 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots6/6▲13.8 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲6.67 shots/match

47%Possession6/649.2%

4.5 corners/matchCorners6/66 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.17 fouls/matchFouls6/69.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.17 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1 goals/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.96 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots6/6▲13.8 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲6.67 shots/match

47%Possession6/649.2%

4.5 corners/matchCorners6/66 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.17 fouls/matchFouls6/69.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2.33 goals/match

3.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match

1.86 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲2.1 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲15.3 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲6.67 shots/match

42%Possession3/349.3%

6.33 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.33 fouls/matchFouls3/36.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 11 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4