PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025BayArena

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2–0.

Shots
175
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.070.2
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer Leverkusen beat 1. FC Köln 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bayer Leverkusen – 1. FC Köln): shots 17–5, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.07–0.2, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer Leverkusen have a visible home split

moderate

Bayer Leverkusen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bayer Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer Leverkusen · 1. FC Köln12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer Leverkusen1. FC KölnBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots5 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 17 shots, 1. FC Köln 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 6 shots, 1. FC Köln 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.07 xG0.2 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 2.07 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.2 xG
  • Possession61%39%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 61%, 1. FC Köln 39%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 8 corners, 1. FC Köln 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 8 fouls, 1. FC Köln 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardBayer 04 Leverkusen 2 cards, 1. FC Köln 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sebastian Sebulonsen · 1. FC Köln · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer Leverkusen · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer Leverkusen · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 28′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJonas Hofmann · Bayer Leverkusen · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonas Hofmann · Bayer Leverkusen · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Sebulonsen · 1. FC Köln · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAleix García · Bayer Leverkusen · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMalik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlejo Sarco · Bayer Leverkusen · 79′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 26′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer Leverkusen · 72′ · 0.11 xG · goalRobert Andrich · Bayer Leverkusen · 34′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 9′ · 0.21 xG · on targetMartin Terrier · Bayer Leverkusen · 66′ · 0.27 xG · goalJeanuël Belocian · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedMalik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 48′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer Leverkusen: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.07 xG. 1. FC Köln: 5 shots, 4 on target, 0.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Martin Terrier · Bayer Leverkusen · 66′Robert Andrich · Bayer Leverkusen · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer Leverkusen 2.07 xG · 1. FC Köln 0.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0Draws
21. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga3–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–2
1. FC Köln — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen14 matches1. FC Köln14 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.57 goals/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.64 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.42 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots14/1412.4 shots/match
4.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.57 shots/match
59.8% ●Possession14/1447.1%
5.07 corners/match ●Corners14/143.93 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards14/141.71 cards/match
8.57 fouls/matchFouls14/149 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 Leverkusen1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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