Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 14:30 UTCFull timeBorussia-ParkFull-time recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WWWDW

1–3Full-time recap

VfL Wolfsburg

LLLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Borussia Mönchengladbach	VfL Wolfsburg
Shots	14 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	6 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.43 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Mönchengladbach favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 2 · 7 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲1.43 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/141.71 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/1411.9 shots/match

14.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1414.9 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/144.21 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/144.86 shots/match

46.5%Possessionseason · 14/1445.1%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/143.64 corners/match

5.36 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/148 corners/match

1.43 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 14/142.07 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/147%

57%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Mönchengladbach25

VfL Wolfsburg13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Mönchengladbach35.2

VfL Wolfsburg34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Mönchengladbach41.7

VfL Wolfsburg31.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Mönchengladbach47.2

VfL Wolfsburg58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach27.8

VfL Wolfsburg58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach41.7

VfL Wolfsburg2.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Mönchengladbach42.4

VfL Wolfsburg30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

46.4%Possession5/541.8%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match

0.6 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.8 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/104.5 shots/match

44.8%Possession10/1044.1%

4 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match

1.1 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

1.29 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.43 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.71 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12 shots/matchShots14/1411.9 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target14/144.21 shots/match

46.5%Possession14/1445.1%

5 corners/matchCorners14/143.64 corners/match

1.43 cards/matchCards14/142.07 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲1.43 goals/match

2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲1.29 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.9 shots/match▲Shots8/710.3 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target8/73.43 shots/match

45.1%Possession8/745%

4.75 corners/matchCorners8/73 corners/match

1.25 cards/matchCards8/72 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls8/710.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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