PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Fri, 19 Dec 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeSignal Iduna ParkFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBorussia DortmundBorussia Mönchengladbach
Shots10 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Dortmund's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia Dortmund's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible home split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Dortmund favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Mönchengladbach in 1 · 6 too close

1.73 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/151.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/151.6 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1511.6 shots/match
11 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1514.1 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/154.27 shots/match
3.13 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/154.93 shots/match
52.6%Possessionseason · 15/1546.3%
5.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/154.93 corners/match
4.93 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/155.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCardsseason · 15/15▲1.4 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1510.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
53%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1540%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1553%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Dortmund69.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Dortmund45.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach28.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Dortmund91.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach43.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Dortmund2.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund52.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach27.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund63.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Dortmund51.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach40.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
45.2%Possession5/547.8%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/50.4 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots10/109.9 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match
49.3%Possession10/1045.2%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/101.1 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1.73 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.9 shots/matchShots15/1511.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target15/154.27 shots/match
52.6%Possession15/1546.3%
5.2 corners/matchCorners15/154.93 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards15/151.4 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.43 goals/match
0.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shots7/712.4 shots/match
5.14 shots/matchShots on target7/75.14 shots/match
55.3%Possession7/747.6%
7.43 corners/matchCorners7/75.14 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards7/71.57 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.21 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Dec 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBorussia DortmundBorussia Mönchengladbach
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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