PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeSignal Iduna ParkFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBorussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim
Shots8 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession43%57%
Corners7 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Borussia Dortmund's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible home split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia Dortmund's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Dortmund favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · 1899 Hoffenheim in 2 · 5 too close

1.77 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.92 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.46 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲13.5 shots/match
10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1312.3 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/134.69 shots/match
3.08 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/134.38 shots/match
53%Possessionseason · 13/1353.5%
5.54 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/135.46 corners/match
4.92 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/135.69 corners/match
1.69 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 13/132 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1314.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
54%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1315%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1385%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Dortmund69.4
1899 Hoffenheim75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Dortmund47.2
1899 Hoffenheim73.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Dortmund91.7
1899 Hoffenheim71.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Dortmund8.3
1899 Hoffenheim36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund48.6
1899 Hoffenheim72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund83.3
1899 Hoffenheim72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Dortmund56.2
1899 Hoffenheim78.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.8 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match
46.8%Possession5/554.6%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲14 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.3 shots/match
50%Possession10/1054%
6.2 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.92 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.46 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/matchShots13/13▲13.5 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on target13/134.69 shots/match
53%Possession13/1353.5%
5.54 corners/matchCorners13/135.46 corners/match
1.69 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
1.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲2 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/71.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shots6/712.6 shots/match
5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/74.86 shots/match
55%Possession6/752.9%
7.67 corners/matchCorners6/74.57 corners/match
0.83 cards/matchCards6/72.14 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls6/714.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.08 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBorussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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