PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeSignal Iduna ParkFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBorussia DortmundBodø/Glimt
Shots22 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals2.89 xG/match▲1.38 xG/match
Possession63%37%
Corners10 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Kasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 61′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYan Couto · Borussia Dortmund · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJobe Bellingham · Borussia Dortmund · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJobe Bellingham · Borussia Dortmund · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHåkon Evjen · Bodø/Glimt · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 18′ · 0.09 xG · goalFábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund · 40′ · 0.10 xG · on targetUlrik Saltnes · Bodø/Glimt · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 20′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 51′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 88′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 6′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 7′ · 0.18 xG · on targetFábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund · 56′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund · 57′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 58′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAarón Anselmino · Borussia Dortmund · 62′ · 0.22 xG · on targetFábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund · 66′ · 0.24 xG · on targetJens Petter Hauge · Bodø/Glimt · 75′ · 0.38 xG · goalHaitam Aleesami · Bodø/Glimt · 42′ · 0.55 xG · goalJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 51′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 22 shots, 9 on target, 3.08 xG. Bodø/Glimt: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Julian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 18′Julian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 51′Haitam Aleesami · Bodø/Glimt · 42′Jens Petter Hauge · Bodø/Glimt · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 3.08 xG · Bodø/Glimt 1.33 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bodø/Glimt's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Bodø/Glimt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Bodø/Glimt have a visible away split

weak

Bodø/Glimt's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bodø/Glimt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bodø/Glimt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.88 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Bodø/Glimt13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundBodø/GlimtBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match17.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Dortmund favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Bodø/Glimt in 1 · 4 too close

3.17 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/81.88 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/8▲1.88 goals/match
2 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/61.88 xG/match
1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/62.8 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/813.3 shots/match
11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/817.1 shots/match
6.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/85 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/87.63 shots/match
57.3%Possessionseason · 6/854.3%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/84.88 corners/match
3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/85.75 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/810 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/813%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/888%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Dortmund89.3
Bodø/Glimt75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Dortmund71.3
Bodø/Glimt52.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Dortmund40.5
Bodø/Glimt13.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Dortmund15.5
Bodø/Glimt36.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund51.2
Bodø/Glimt25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund61.9
Bodø/Glimt58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Dortmund57.1
Bodø/Glimt44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
2.06 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.75 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match
6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
59.2%Possession5/554.6%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 8 matches
3.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/81.88 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/8▲1.88 goals/match
2 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.88 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots6/813.3 shots/match
6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/85 shots/match
57.3%Possession6/854.3%
5 corners/matchCorners6/84.88 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/810 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 8 matches
3.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/81.88 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/8▲1.88 goals/match
2 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.88 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots6/813.3 shots/match
6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/85 shots/match
57.3%Possession6/854.3%
5 corners/matchCorners6/84.88 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/810 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches
3.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/41.5 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/42.25 goals/match
2.53 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.77 xG/match
16 shots/match▲Shots3/49 shots/match
8.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/45 shots/match
60.7%Possession3/450.5%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/45 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12 fouls/matchFouls3/49.25 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 11 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBorussia DortmundBodø/Glimt
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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