Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeRed Bull ArenaFull-time recap
60Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
Shots16 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession52%48%
Corners4 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.15 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

RB Leipzig favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 2 · 7 too close

2.15 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/132.15 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/132.23 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
16.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1312.9 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1311.5 shots/match
5.85 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/134.54 shots/match
3.46 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/134.54 shots/match
49.6%Possessionseason · 13/1355.2%
6.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/135.08 corners/match
4.46 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/132.77 corners/match
1.62 cards/matchCardsseason · 13/131.62 cards/match
9.46 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1310.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
54%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1315%
85%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1385%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

RB Leipzig58.3
Eintracht Frankfurt80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

RB Leipzig89.8
Eintracht Frankfurt64.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

RB Leipzig73.1
Eintracht Frankfurt50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

RB Leipzig91.7
Eintracht Frankfurt19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig20.9
Eintracht Frankfurt26.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig97.2
Eintracht Frankfurt52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

RB Leipzig76.4
Eintracht Frankfurt49.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
18.2 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match
7.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
51%Possession5/556.6%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/51 cards/match
7.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/102 goals/match
0.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
16.7 shots/matchShots10/1012.8 shots/match
6.7 shots/matchShots on target10/104.6 shots/match
49.8%Possession10/1056.2%
6.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/101.4 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
2.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/132.15 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed13/132.23 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
16.7 shots/matchShots13/1312.9 shots/match
5.85 shots/matchShots on target13/134.54 shots/match
49.6%Possession13/1355.2%
6.15 corners/matchCorners13/135.08 corners/match
1.62 cards/matchCards13/131.62 cards/match
9.46 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored6/72.43 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/72.86 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
16.8 shots/matchShots6/712.3 shots/match
7.67 shots/matchShots on target6/74.29 shots/match
51%Possession6/755.1%
6.33 corners/matchCorners6/74.43 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards6/72.14 cards/match
8.67 fouls/matchFouls6/710.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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