PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Weserstadion

SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 1–0.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.950.58
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Werder Bremen beat Union Berlin 1–0. Recorded in this match (Werder Bremen – Union Berlin): shots 16–12, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.95–0.58, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Werder Bremen have recorded the higher season possession share.

48% ●PossessionWerder Bremen · Union Berlin32.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWerder BremenUnion BerlinBaseline
Possession48%32.9%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Union Berlin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsWerder Bremen · Union Berlin12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWerder BremenUnion BerlinBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against17.4 shots/match15 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsSV Werder Bremen 16 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsSV Werder Bremen 3 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG0.58 xGSV Werder Bremen 0.95 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 0.58 xG
  • Possession58%42%SV Werder Bremen 58%, 1. FC Union Berlin 42%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersSV Werder Bremen 5 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 6 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls13 foulsSV Werder Bremen 6 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards0 cardsSV Werder Bremen 4 cards, 1. FC Union Berlin 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Christopher Trimmel · Union Berlin · 24′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 27′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDerrick Köhn · Union Berlin · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · Union Berlin · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Union Berlin · 88′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndrej Ilić · Union Berlin · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · Union Berlin · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmos Pieper · Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIlyas Ansah · Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · Union Berlin · 12′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTim Skarke · Union Berlin · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 72′ · 0.07 xG · goalMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAljoscha Kemlein · Union Berlin · 19′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 47′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 57′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Werder Bremen: 16 shots, 3 on target, 0.99 xG. Union Berlin: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Marco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Werder Bremen 0.99 xG · Union Berlin 0.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SV Werder Bremen
1Draws
21. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga4–1
1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen8 matches1. FC Union Berlin8 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.38 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.21 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots8/812.5 shots/match
4.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.63 shots/match
48% ●Possession8/832.9%
3.38 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.25 corners/match
2.88 cards/matchCards8/82.13 cards/match
8.88 fouls/matchFouls8/814.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Oct 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder Bremen1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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