PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Voith-Arena

1. FC Heidenheim 2–2 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim and SV Werder Bremen drew 2–2.

Shots
3111
Shots on target
114
Expected goals
31.33
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim and Werder Bremen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – Werder Bremen): shots 31–11, shots on target 11–4, expected goals 3–1.33, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Heidenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Heidenheim · Werder Bremen11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimWerder BremenBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match18.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots31 shots11 shots1. FC Heidenheim 31 shots, SV Werder Bremen 11 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots4 shots1. FC Heidenheim 11 shots, SV Werder Bremen 4 shots
  • Expected goals3 xG1.33 xG1. FC Heidenheim 3 xG, SV Werder Bremen 1.33 xG
  • Possession55%45%1. FC Heidenheim 55%, SV Werder Bremen 45%
  • Corners12 corners2 corners1. FC Heidenheim 12 corners, SV Werder Bremen 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 9 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cards1. FC Heidenheim 1 card, SV Werder Bremen 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marco Friedl · Werder Bremen · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTim Siersleben · 1. FC Heidenheim · 88′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 2′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHaktab Omar Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 78′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 72′ · 0.07 xG · on targetVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 7′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Heidenheim · 16′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJonas Föhrenbach · 1. FC Heidenheim · 83′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 18′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTim Siersleben · 1. FC Heidenheim · 37′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 81′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 35′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 50′ · 0.17 xG · goalJonas Föhrenbach · 1. FC Heidenheim · 83′ · 0.18 xG · goalRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 30′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 30′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 67′ · 0.23 xG · goalJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 69′ · 0.46 xG · goalStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 63′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 21′ · 0.56 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 31 shots, 11 on target, 3.04 xG. Werder Bremen: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Stefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 67′Jonas Föhrenbach · 1. FC Heidenheim · 83′Marco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 50′Jens Stage · Werder Bremen · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 3.04 xG · Werder Bremen 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

31. FC Heidenheim
1Draws
1SV Werder Bremen
1. FC Heidenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–4
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga3–3
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga1–2
1. FC Heidenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga4–2
1. FC Heidenheim — SV Werder Bremen · 2. Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim7 matchesSV Werder Bremen7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.43 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots7/711.6 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.86 shots/match
42.6%Possession7/7● 46.6%
5.43 corners/match ●Corners7/73.14 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/72.71 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls7/79.29 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-head1. FC Heidenheim — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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