PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025RheinEnergieStadion

1. FC Köln 1–1 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Köln and FC Augsburg drew 1–1.

Shots
910
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.581.12
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Köln and FC Augsburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Köln – FC Augsburg): shots 9–10, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.58–1.12, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shots1. FC Köln 9 shots, FC Augsburg 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shots1. FC Köln 2 shots, FC Augsburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG1.12 xG1. FC Köln 0.58 xG, FC Augsburg 1.12 xG
  • Possession56%44%1. FC Köln 56%, FC Augsburg 44%
  • Corners5 corners2 corners1. FC Köln 5 corners, FC Augsburg 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls17 fouls1. FC Köln 10 fouls, FC Augsburg 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cards1. FC Köln 2 cards, FC Augsburg 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anton Kade · FC Augsburg · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Sebulonsen · 1. FC Köln · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 67′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 71′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDenis Huseinbašić · 1. FC Köln · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHan-Noah Massengo · FC Augsburg · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Lund · 1. FC Köln · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaid El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 76′ · 0.04 xG · goalSebastian Sebulonsen · 1. FC Köln · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJakub Kamiński · 1. FC Köln · 26′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 22′ · 0.18 xG · on targetFabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 54′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Köln: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.56 xG. FC Augsburg: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Said El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 76′Fabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Köln 0.56 xG · FC Augsburg 1.17 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

31. FC Köln
2Draws
0FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–3
1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–2
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln7 matchesFC Augsburg7 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.71 goals/match
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.06 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.4 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target7/74.14 shots/match
46.1%Possession7/7● 47%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners7/74.71 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards7/73.29 cards/match
9.71 fouls/matchFouls7/714.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC KölnFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-head1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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