PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund 1–0 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 1–0.

Shots
275
Shots on target
90
Expected goals
1.90.39
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat 1. FC Köln 1–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – 1. FC Köln): shots 27–5, shots on target 9–0, expected goals 1.9–0.39, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible home split

weak

Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FC Köln show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

1. FC Köln's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · 1. FC Köln11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia Dortmund1. FC KölnBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against9.88 shots/match16.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots5 shotsBorussia Dortmund 27 shots, 1. FC Köln 5 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots0 shotsBorussia Dortmund 9 shots, 1. FC Köln 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG0.39 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.9 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.39 xG
  • Possession70%30%Borussia Dortmund 70%, 1. FC Köln 30%
  • Corners17 corners2 cornersBorussia Dortmund 17 corners, 1. FC Köln 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsBorussia Dortmund 10 fouls, 1. FC Köln 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsBorussia Dortmund 2 cards, 1. FC Köln 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 65′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWaldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCarney Chukwuemeka · Borussia Dortmund · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSaid El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · 1. FC Köln · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 22′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 62′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSaid El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 35′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 10′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedSaid El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 19′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 34′ · 0.33 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.37 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 27 shots, 9 on target, 1.92 xG. 1. FC Köln: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Maximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 1.92 xG · 1. FC Köln 0.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Borussia Dortmund
1Draws
11. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–4
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–0
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga6–1
1. FC Köln — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–2
1. FC Köln — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund8 matches1. FC Köln8 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.5 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.23 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.9 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.75 shots/match
56.9% ●Possession8/844.1%
6.38 corners/match ●Corners8/84.5 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards8/81.88 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls8/89.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia Dortmund1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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