PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Weserstadion

SV Werder Bremen 1–0 FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 1–0.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.860.76
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Werder Bremen beat FC St. Pauli 1–0. Recorded in this match (Werder Bremen – FC St. Pauli): shots 15–13, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.86–0.76, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC St. Pauli's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.33 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsWerder Bremen · FC St. Pauli12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWerder BremenFC St. PauliBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match10 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsSV Werder Bremen 15 shots, FC St. Pauli 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsSV Werder Bremen 5 shots, FC St. Pauli 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.86 xG0.76 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.86 xG, FC St. Pauli 0.76 xG
  • Possession41%59%SV Werder Bremen 41%, FC St. Pauli 59%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersSV Werder Bremen 4 corners, FC St. Pauli 0 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsSV Werder Bremen 8 fouls, FC St. Pauli 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardSV Werder Bremen 3 cards, FC St. Pauli 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joel Chima Fujita · FC St. Pauli · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArkadiusz Pyrka · FC St. Pauli · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Sands · FC St. Pauli · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedConnor Metcalfe · FC St. Pauli · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 87′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLouis Oppie · FC St. Pauli · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 27′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedConnor Metcalfe · FC St. Pauli · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArkadiusz Pyrka · FC St. Pauli · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoel Chima Fujita · FC St. Pauli · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 76′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · FC St. Pauli · 7′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 63′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 9′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSamuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 2′ · 0.12 xG · goalJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 62′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 41′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedKarim Coulibaly · Werder Bremen · 23′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedPatrice Čović · Werder Bremen · 84′ · 0.66 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Werder Bremen: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.85 xG. FC St. Pauli: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Samuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 2′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Werder Bremen 1.85 xG · FC St. Pauli 0.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
3Draws
0FC St. Pauli
SV Werder Bremen — FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga0–0
FC St. Pauli — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–2
FC St. Pauli — SV Werder Bremen · 2. Bundesliga1–1
SV Werder Bremen — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen6 matchesFC St. Pauli6 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.19 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 12.7 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/65.17 shots/match
46.8%Possession6/6● 52.3%
3.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/62 cards/match
9 fouls/matchFouls6/613.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenFC St. Pauli
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — FC St. Pauli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required