PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Fri, 26 Sept 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timeAllianz ArenaFull-time recap
4–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBayern MünchenWerder Bremen
Shots26 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target13 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession59%41%
Corners7 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match4 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21 shots/match▲ShotsBayern München · Werder Bremen11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayern MünchenWerder BremenBaseline
Shots21 shots/match11 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match16.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.6%▲PossessionBayern München · Werder Bremen48%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayern MünchenWerder BremenBaseline
Possession62.6%48%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bayern München favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Werder Bremen in 1 · 4 too close

4.4 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/52.8 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
21 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/511 shots/match
10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/516.6 shots/match
11 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/55 shots/match
2.6 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/56 shots/match
62.6%Possessionseason · 5/548%
5.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/53.2 corners/match
5.2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/56 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/5▲2.6 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/59.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
60%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayern München97.2
Werder Bremen36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayern München97.2
Werder Bremen35.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayern München93.5
Werder Bremen15.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayern München86.1
Werder Bremen13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayern München61.1
Werder Bremen36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayern München63.9
Werder Bremen8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayern München75
Werder Bremen20.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
4.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match
11 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match
62.6%Possession5/548%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
4.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match
11 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match
62.6%Possession5/548%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
4.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match
11 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match
62.6%Possession5/548%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
5 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31.67 goals/match
0 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
22.3 shots/match▲Shots3/310.3 shots/match
11.7 shots/match▲Shots on target3/35 shots/match
64.3%Possession3/344.3%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/31 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls3/37.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.21 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Sept 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBayern MünchenWerder Bremen
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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