Bundesliga · 2025Mewa Arena

1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 0–2.

Shots
810
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.481.44
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat FSV Mainz 05 2–0. Recorded in this match (FSV Mainz 05 – Borussia Dortmund): shots 8–10, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.48–1.44, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FSV Mainz 05 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FSV Mainz 05's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFSV Mainz 05 · Borussia Dortmund11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFSV Mainz 05Borussia DortmundBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match9.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

51%PossessionFSV Mainz 05 · Borussia Dortmund● 59.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFSV Mainz 05Borussia DortmundBaseline
Possession51%59.2%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots10 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 8 shots, Borussia Dortmund 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 2 shots, Borussia Dortmund 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.48 xG1.44 xG1. FSV Mainz 05 0.48 xG, Borussia Dortmund 1.44 xG
  • Possession49%51%1. FSV Mainz 05 49%, Borussia Dortmund 51%
  • Corners7 corners5 corners1. FSV Mainz 05 7 corners, Borussia Dortmund 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 fouls1. FSV Mainz 05 12 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 card1. FSV Mainz 05 2 cards, Borussia Dortmund 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ramy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKaishu Sano · FSV Mainz 05 · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Hanche-Olsen · FSV Mainz 05 · 56′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArmindo Sieb · FSV Mainz 05 · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Hanche-Olsen · FSV Mainz 05 · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Hanche-Olsen · FSV Mainz 05 · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · FSV Mainz 05 · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStefan Bell · FSV Mainz 05 · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetYan Couto · Borussia Dortmund · 23′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPaul Nebel · FSV Mainz 05 · 26′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 88′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Svensson · Borussia Dortmund · 27′ · 0.39 xG · goalKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 40′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FSV Mainz 05: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.48 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Daniel Svensson · Borussia Dortmund · 27′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FSV Mainz 05 0.48 xG · Borussia Dortmund 1.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

21. FSV Mainz 05
2Draws
1Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga3–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–0
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–1
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FSV Mainz 05 favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FSV Mainz 055 matchesBorussia Dortmund5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.87 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.8 shots/match
51%Possession5/5● 59.2%
6.8 corners/match ●Corners5/54.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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