Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 13:30 UTCFull timeVoith-ArenaFull-time recap

1. FC Heidenheim

LLLL

2–1Full-time recap

FC Augsburg

WLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1. FC Heidenheim	FC Augsburg
Shots	11 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Possession	48%	52%
Corners	3 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	20 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	6 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: 1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8 shots/match	9.8 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1. FC Heidenheim favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 5 · 6 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲1.6 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/52.4 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

9.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲12 shots/match

16.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲14.4 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲4 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/56 shots/match

41.4%Possessionseason · 5/547.6%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.2 corners/match

3.2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/54.4 corners/match

2.4 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 5/53.8 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/515.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/50%

60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1. FC Heidenheim13.9

FC Augsburg25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1. FC Heidenheim10.2

FC Augsburg34.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1. FC Heidenheim32.4

FC Augsburg30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1. FC Heidenheim19.4

FC Augsburg36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1. FC Heidenheim57

FC Augsburg94.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1. FC Heidenheim52.8

FC Augsburg27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1. FC Heidenheim31.9

FC Augsburg45.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match

41.4%Possession5/547.6%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/53.8 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match

41.4%Possession5/547.6%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/53.8 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match

41.4%Possession5/547.6%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/53.8 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.67 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.67 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

8 shots/matchShots3/3▲10.7 shots/match

2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4 shots/match

40.7%Possession3/345%

3.33 corners/matchCorners3/32.67 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/35 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls3/316.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match