Bundesliga · 2025WWK Arena

FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FSV Mainz 05 won 1–4.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.122.52
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

FSV Mainz 05 beat FC Augsburg 4–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – FSV Mainz 05): shots 18–12, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.12–2.52, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FSV Mainz 05 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FSV Mainz 05's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Augsburg · FSV Mainz 0515.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgFSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots13 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match15 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsFC Augsburg 18 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsFC Augsburg 5 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG2.52 xGFC Augsburg 1.12 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 2.52 xG
  • Possession61%39%FC Augsburg 61%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 39%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersFC Augsburg 6 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsFC Augsburg 13 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsFC Augsburg 1 card, 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPaul Nebel · FSV Mainz 05 · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChrislain Matsima · FC Augsburg · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChrislain Matsima · FC Augsburg · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · FSV Mainz 05 · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPaul Nebel · FSV Mainz 05 · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArmindo Sieb · FSV Mainz 05 · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArmindo Sieb · FSV Mainz 05 · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKaishu Sano · FSV Mainz 05 · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.08 xG · goalPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKaishu Sano · FSV Mainz 05 · 14′ · 0.11 xG · goalAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 20′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 63′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 55′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · FSV Mainz 05 · 6′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedArmindo Sieb · FSV Mainz 05 · 30′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedArmindo Sieb · FSV Mainz 05 · 69′ · 0.33 xG · goalDominik Kohr · FSV Mainz 05 · 26′ · 0.46 xG · goalPaul Nebel · FSV Mainz 05 · 60′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.16 xG. FSV Mainz 05: 12 shots, 4 on target, 2.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Samuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 83′Kaishu Sano · FSV Mainz 05 · 14′Dominik Kohr · FSV Mainz 05 · 26′Paul Nebel · FSV Mainz 05 · 60′Armindo Sieb · FSV Mainz 05 · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 1.16 xG · FSV Mainz 05 2.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Augsburg
1Draws
31. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05 — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–0
FC Augsburg — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–3
1. FSV Mainz 05 — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–0
FC Augsburg — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg4 matches1. FSV Mainz 054 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1 goal/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.72 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 15.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/42.75 shots/match
46.5%Possession4/4● 51.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.75 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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