PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Millerntor-Stadion

FC St. Pauli 2–1 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC St. Pauli won 2–1.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.90.78
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC St. Pauli beat FC Augsburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC St. Pauli – FC Augsburg): shots 13–10, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.9–0.78, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFC St. Pauli · FC Augsburg11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC St. PauliFC AugsburgBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against7.67 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14 fouls/matchFoulsFC St. Pauli · FC Augsburg14.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC St. PauliFC AugsburgBaseline
Fouls14 fouls/match14.7 fouls/match11.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC St. Pauli have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.3% ●PossessionFC St. Pauli · FC Augsburg41.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC St. PauliFC AugsburgBaseline
Possession53.3%41.7%51.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsFC St. Pauli 13 shots, FC Augsburg 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsFC St. Pauli 7 shots, FC Augsburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG0.78 xGFC St. Pauli 1.9 xG, FC Augsburg 0.78 xG
  • Possession57%43%FC St. Pauli 57%, FC Augsburg 43%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerFC St. Pauli 3 corners, FC Augsburg 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsFC St. Pauli 10 fouls, FC Augsburg 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsFC St. Pauli 1 card, FC Augsburg 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Connor Metcalfe · FC St. Pauli · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoel Chima Fujita · FC St. Pauli · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Fellhauer · FC Augsburg · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarius Wolf · FC Augsburg · 2′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndreas Hountondji · FC St. Pauli · 6′ · 0.03 xG · on targetElias Saad · FC Augsburg · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · FC St. Pauli · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedManolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCedric Zesiger · FC Augsburg · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Fellhauer · FC Augsburg · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 77′ · 0.04 xG · goalDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedElias Saad · FC Augsburg · 68′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAndreas Hountondji · FC St. Pauli · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · FC St. Pauli · 47′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 16′ · 0.42 xG · goalMathias Pereira Lage · FC St. Pauli · 71′ · 0.48 xG · on targetAndreas Hountondji · FC St. Pauli · 45′ · 0.74 xG · goalAndreas Hountondji · FC St. Pauli · 45′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC St. Pauli: 13 shots, 7 on target, 2.48 xG. FC Augsburg: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Andreas Hountondji · FC St. Pauli · 45′Danel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 77′Fabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC St. Pauli 2.48 xG · FC Augsburg 0.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC St. Pauli
1Draws
1FC Augsburg
FC St. Pauli — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC St. Pauli favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC St. Pauli3 matchesFC Augsburg3 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/32 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.88 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/311.3 shots/match
6.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession3/341.7%
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/34.33 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/34 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC St. PauliFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC St. Pauli — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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