Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 13:30 UTCFull timeVolksparkstadionFull-time recap

Hamburger SV

DLL

2–1Full-time recap

1. FC Heidenheim

LLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Hamburger SV	1. FC Heidenheim
Shots	22 shots/match▲	20 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	1 corners/match	12 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	5 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hamburger SV favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 0 · 14 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/40.5 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42.25 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/49.5 shots/match

19 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/418.3 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/43.5 shots/match

7.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/46.75 shots/match

41.3%Possessionseason · 4/439.8%

3 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/45.5 corners/match

7.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43.5 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.75 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

25%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hamburger SV13.9

1. FC Heidenheim8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hamburger SV11.1

1. FC Heidenheim7.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hamburger SV13.9

1. FC Heidenheim13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hamburger SV52.8

1. FC Heidenheim19.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hamburger SV72.2

1. FC Heidenheim43

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hamburger SV8.3

1. FC Heidenheim58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hamburger SV25

1. FC Heidenheim22.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.5 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.8 shots/match▲Shots4/49.5 shots/match

3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.5 shots/match

41.3%Possession4/439.8%

3 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.5 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.8 shots/match▲Shots4/49.5 shots/match

3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.5 shots/match

41.3%Possession4/439.8%

3 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.5 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.8 shots/match▲Shots4/49.5 shots/match

3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.5 shots/match

41.3%Possession4/439.8%

3 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards2/2—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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