FC Bayern München beat Pafos FC 5–1. Recorded in this match (Pafos FC – FC Bayern München): shots 6–26, shots on target 2–15, expected goals 0.39–4.54, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Pafos FCFC Bayern München
Shots6 shots26 shotsPafos FC 6 shots, FC Bayern München 26 shots
Shots on target2 shots15 shotsPafos FC 2 shots, FC Bayern München 15 shots
Expected goals0.39 xG4.54 xGPafos FC 0.39 xG, FC Bayern München 4.54 xG
Possession33%67%Pafos FC 33%, FC Bayern München 67%
Corners2 corners6 cornersPafos FC 2 corners, FC Bayern München 6 corners
Fouls11 fouls9 foulsPafos FC 11 fouls, FC Bayern München 9 fouls
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
FC Bayern München← attackingattacking →Pafos FC
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Pafos FC: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.38 xG. FC Bayern München: 26 shots, 15 on target, 4.70 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Pafos FC0.38 xGFC Bayern München4.70 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Pafos FC 0.38 xG · FC Bayern München 4.70 xG.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
Pafos FC / FC Bayern München
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4