UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeAlphamega StadiumFull-time recap

Pafos FC

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1–5Full-time recap

FC Bayern München

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Pafos FC	FC Bayern München
Shots	6 shots/match	26 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.39 xG/match	4.54 xG/match▲
Possession	33%	67%
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Pafos FC: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.38 xG. FC Bayern München: 26 shots, 15 on target, 4.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Pafos FC 0.38 xG · FC Bayern München 4.70 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pafos FC favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 0 · 14 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/2—

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/2—

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

9.25 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/2—

20.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/2—

2.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/2—

6.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/2—

39.3%Possessionseason · 4/2—

2.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/2—

7.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/2—

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/2—

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/2—

88%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/2—

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pafos FC11.5

FC Bayern München—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pafos FC14.9

FC Bayern München—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pafos FC32.4

FC Bayern München—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pafos FC34.6

FC Bayern München—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pafos FC73.1

FC Bayern München—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 25%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pafos FC3.8

FC Bayern München—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pafos FC23

FC Bayern München—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 2 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/2—

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

9.25 shots/matchShots4/2—

2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/2—

39.3%Possession4/2—

2.25 corners/matchCorners4/2—

—Cards0/0—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls4/2—

Window

Last 10

8 / 2 matches

1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/2—

1 goals/matchGoals allowed8/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

9.25 shots/matchShots4/2—

2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/2—

39.3%Possession4/2—

2.25 corners/matchCorners4/2—

—Cards0/0—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls4/2—

Window

Season

8 / 2 matches

1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/2—

1 goals/matchGoals allowed8/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

9.25 shots/matchShots4/2—

2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/2—

39.3%Possession4/2—

2.25 corners/matchCorners4/2—

—Cards0/0—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls4/2—

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 1 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/1—

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/1—

—Expected goals1/1—

—Shots2/1—

—Shots on target2/1—

—Possession2/1—

—Corners2/1—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/1—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 2home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 2last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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