Marseille beat AFC Ajax 4–0. Recorded in this match (Marseille – AFC Ajax): shots 9–13, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.13–0.8, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Olympique de MarseilleAFC Ajax
Shots9 shots13 shotsOlympique de Marseille 9 shots, AFC Ajax 13 shots
Shots on target6 shots2 shotsOlympique de Marseille 6 shots, AFC Ajax 2 shots
Expected goals1.13 xG0.8 xGOlympique de Marseille 1.13 xG, AFC Ajax 0.8 xG
Possession48%52%Olympique de Marseille 48%, AFC Ajax 52%
Corners0 corners7 cornersOlympique de Marseille 0 corners, AFC Ajax 7 corners
Fouls18 fouls12 foulsOlympique de Marseille 18 fouls, AFC Ajax 12 fouls
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
AFC Ajax← attackingattacking →Marseille
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Marseille: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.10 xG. AFC Ajax: 13 shots, 2 on target, 0.78 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Marseille1.10 xGAFC Ajax0.78 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Marseille 1.10 xG · AFC Ajax 0.78 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
1Olympique de Marseille
1Draws
0AFC Ajax
Olympique de Marseille — AFC Ajax · UEFA Europa League4–3
AFC Ajax — Olympique de Marseille · UEFA Europa League3–3
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
Olympique de Marseille / AFC Ajax
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4