PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz 0–3 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

Metz

LLDLD
0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 0–3.

Shots
421
Shots on target
19
Expected goals
0.162.71
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Marseille beat Metz 3–0. Recorded in this match (Metz – Marseille): shots 4–21, shots on target 1–9, expected goals 0.16–2.71, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.71 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metz have a visible home split

weak

Metz's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

5.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season7.86 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots5.5 shots/match7.86 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metz show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Metz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.86 shots/match ▲ShotsMetz · Marseille14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMetzMarseilleBaseline
Shots7.86 shots/match14.4 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match9.43 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots21 shotsMetz 4 shots, Olympique de Marseille 21 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot9 shotsMetz 1 shot, Olympique de Marseille 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.16 xG2.71 xGMetz 0.16 xG, Olympique de Marseille 2.71 xG
  • Possession38%62%Metz 38%, Olympique de Marseille 62%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersMetz 4 corners, Olympique de Marseille 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsMetz 8 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards0 cardsMetz 0 cards, Olympique de Marseille 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Angel Gomes · Marseille · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFodé Ballo-Touré · Metz · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEmerson Palmieri · Marseille · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · Marseille · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Marseille · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGauthier Hein · Metz · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHabibou Diallo · Metz · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmir Murillo · Marseille · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Marseille · 69′ · 0.08 xG · goalTimothy Weah · Marseille · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Marseille · 72′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIgor Paixão · Marseille · 51′ · 0.10 xG · goalBenjamin Pavard · Marseille · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMason Greenwood · Marseille · 50′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 48′ · 0.16 xG · on targetBilal Nadir · Marseille · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAngel Gomes · Marseille · 9′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 76′ · 0.48 xG · goalRobinio Vaz · Marseille · 38′ · 0.57 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Metz: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.14 xG. Marseille: 21 shots, 9 on target, 2.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Igor Paixão · Marseille · 51′Matt O'Riley · Marseille · 69′Amine Gouiri · Marseille · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 0.14 xG · Marseille 2.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Metz
3Draws
1Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — Metz · Ligue 11–1
Metz — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–2
Metz — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–2
Olympique de Marseille — Metz · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Metz favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Metz7 matchesOlympique de Marseille7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.14 goals/match
2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.71 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.92 xG/match
7.86 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 14.4 shots/match
1.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.57 shots/match
48.1%Possession7/7● 57.3%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.29 corners/match
1.14 cards/matchCards7/72.43 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/712.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMetzOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headMetz — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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