PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeStade Saint-SymphorienFull-time recap

Metz

LLLDL
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMetzLe Havre
Shots7 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Shots on target0 shots/match2 shots/match▲
Possession53%47%
Corners4 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Issa Soumaré · Le Havre · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYanis Zouaoui · Le Havre · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedReda Khadra · Le Havre · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBoubacar Traoré · Metz · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Delaine · Le Havre · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBoubacar Traoré · Metz · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Abuashvili · Metz · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoic Négo · Le Havre · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoic Négo · Le Havre · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReda Khadra · Le Havre · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGeorgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedReda Khadra · Le Havre · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHabibou Diallo · Metz · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBoubacar Traoré · Metz · 29′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHabibou Diallo · Metz · 89′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Metz: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.48 xG. Le Havre: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 0.48 xG · Le Havre 0.26 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Metz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Metz's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Metz show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Metz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.5 shots/match▲ShotsMetz · Le Havre12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMetzLe HavreBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match12 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match8.33 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metz have a visible home split

weak

Metz's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season8.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6 shots/match8.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

weak

Metz's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Metz favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Le Havre in 8 · 5 too close

0.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲1 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.33 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲12 shots/match
13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲8.33 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲3.83 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲3.33 shots/match
49.8%Possessionseason · 6/647%
4.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.33 corners/match
5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲3.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 6/62 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/616 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲67%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Metz52.8
Le Havre41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Metz7.4
Le Havre33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Metz14.8
Le Havre76.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Metz2.8
Le Havre58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Metz23.6
Le Havre66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Metz30.6
Le Havre38.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Metz18.1
Le Havre51.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match
52.2%Possession5/551.2%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/516.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲12 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲3.83 shots/match
49.8%Possession6/647%
4.17 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards6/62 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/616 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲12 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲3.83 shots/match
49.8%Possession6/647%
4.17 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards6/62 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/616 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
6 shots/matchShots3/3▲9.67 shots/match
1.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲2.33 shots/match
48.7%Possession3/341.3%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/34.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls3/315.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMetzLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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