PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeStade Raymond-KopaFull-time recap

Angers

WLDDL
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAngersStade Brestois 29
Shots11 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match▲
Possession57%43%
Corners11 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Carlens Arcus · Angers · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJustin-Noel Kalumba · Angers · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedProsper Peter · Angers · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSidiki Cherif · Angers · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Lefort · Angers · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLanroy Machine · Angers · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois 29 · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLanroy Machine · Angers · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHimad Abdelli · Angers · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 73′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHaris Belkebla · Angers · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSidiki Cherif · Angers · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSidiki Cherif · Angers · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 26′ · 0.58 xG · goalRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 32′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.49 xG. Stade Brestois 29: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Remy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 26′Romain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 0.49 xG · Stade Brestois 29 1.58 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Stade Brestois 29's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible away split

weak

Stade Brestois 29's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match14 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois 29 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Brestois 29's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.67 shots/match▲ShotsAngers · Stade Brestois 2914 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAngersStade Brestois 29Baseline
Shots8.67 shots/match14 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Angers favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Stade Brestois 29 in 5 · 8 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲1.83 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.83 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲14 shots/match
14.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/614.2 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲4.17 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲4.83 shots/match
36.7%Possessionseason · 6/643%
3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64 corners/match
6.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/66.5 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/61.5 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/612.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Angers2.8
Stade Brestois 2919.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Angers8.3
Stade Brestois 2965.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Angers34.3
Stade Brestois 2920.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Angers41.7
Stade Brestois 2991.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Angers19.4
Stade Brestois 2933.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Angers8.3
Stade Brestois 2925
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Angers11.1
Stade Brestois 2947.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match
37.6%Possession5/542.4%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.83 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.67 shots/matchShots6/6▲14 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.17 shots/match
36.7%Possession6/643%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/64 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards6/61.5 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.83 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.67 shots/matchShots6/6▲14 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.17 shots/match
36.7%Possession6/643%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/64 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards6/61.5 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.67 shots/matchShots3/3▲10.7 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32.33 shots/match
42%Possession3/342.7%
5 corners/matchCorners3/34.67 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls3/311.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.93 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAngersStade Brestois 29
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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