PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Francis-Le Blé

Stade Brestois 0–0 Nantes · Ligue 1

0–0Historical match

Nantes

LWLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois and Nantes drew 0–0.

Shots
176
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
1.510.15
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois 29 and Nantes drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois 29 – Nantes): shots 17–6, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 1.51–0.15, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.71 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois 29 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois 29 · Nantes9.43 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade Brestois 29NantesBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match9.43 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible home split

weak

Stade Brestois 29's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match14.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsStade Brestois 17 shots, Nantes 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsStade Brestois 5 shots, Nantes 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.15 xGStade Brestois 1.51 xG, Nantes 0.15 xG
  • Possession51%49%Stade Brestois 51%, Nantes 49%
  • Corners12 corners3 cornersStade Brestois 12 corners, Nantes 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsStade Brestois 11 fouls, Nantes 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardStade Brestois 2 cards, Nantes 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois 29 · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois 29 · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenny Lala · Stade Brestois 29 · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois 29 · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBradley Locko · Stade Brestois 29 · 35′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 57′ · 0.19 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 18′ · 0.32 xG · on targetJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 38′ · 0.49 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois 29: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.50 xG. Nantes: 6 shots, 0 on target, 0.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 29 1.50 xG · Nantes 0.18 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Stade Brestois
1Draws
0Nantes
Nantes — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–2
Stade Brestois — Nantes · Ligue 14–1
Stade Brestois — Nantes · Ligue 10–0
Nantes — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–2
Stade Brestois — Nantes · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois7 matchesNantes7 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1 goal/match
1.68 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.79 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/79.43 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72 shots/match
44.1%Possession7/7● 44.3%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners7/73.71 corners/match
1.57 cards/matchCards7/71.43 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisNantes
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Nantes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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