PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeStade de la MeinauFull-time recap
5–0Full-time recap

Angers

LDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricStrasbourgAngers
Shots18 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target12 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession66%34%
Corners2 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Julio Enciso · Strasbourg · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLilian Raolisoa · Angers · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentín Barco · Strasbourg · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Høgsberg · Strasbourg · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedProsper Peter · Angers · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedProsper Peter · Angers · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 27′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLouis Mouton · Angers · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSamir El Mourabet · Strasbourg · 27′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 44′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFélix Lemaréchal · Strasbourg · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 70′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 27′ · 0.38 xG · on targetFélix Lemaréchal · Strasbourg · 44′ · 0.42 xG · on targetMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 66′ · 0.43 xG · goalMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 70′ · 0.49 xG · goalJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 51′ · 0.50 xG · goalJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 36′ · 0.51 xG · goalJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 26′ · 0.59 xG · on targetAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 61′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Strasbourg: 18 shots, 12 on target, 4.78 xG. Angers: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.550′HT90′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 36′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 51′Abdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 61′Martial Godo · Strasbourg · 66′Martial Godo · Strasbourg · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Strasbourg 4.78 xG · Angers 0.32 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Angers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Angers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Angers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsStrasbourg · Angers8.14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStrasbourgAngersBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match8.14 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

weak

Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Strasbourg have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.7%▲PossessionStrasbourg · Angers36.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStrasbourgAngersBaseline
Possession51.7%36.3%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Strasbourg favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Angers in 1 · 4 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/70.43 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.57 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/78.14 shots/match
10.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/714.7 shots/match
5.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/72.57 shots/match
3.29 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/76.14 shots/match
51.7%Possessionseason · 7/736.3%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/73.86 corners/match
4.43 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/76.14 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/7▲1.57 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/710.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
57%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/743%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Strasbourg52.8
Angers2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Strasbourg64.8
Angers8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Strasbourg76.9
Angers18.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Strasbourg25
Angers36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Strasbourg44.5
Angers18.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Strasbourg22.2
Angers13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Strasbourg37.5
Angers11.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
50.2%Possession5/541.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shots7/78.14 shots/match
5.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/72.57 shots/match
51.7%Possession7/736.3%
4 corners/matchCorners7/73.86 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/71.57 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/710.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shots7/78.14 shots/match
5.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/72.57 shots/match
51.7%Possession7/736.3%
4 corners/matchCorners7/73.86 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/71.57 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/710.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40.25 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots4/47 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target4/41.75 shots/match
51%Possession4/432%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/43 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls4/49.25 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsStrasbourgAngers
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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