PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Océane

Le Havre 2–2 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre and Stade Rennais drew 2–2.

Shots
109
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.711.11
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre and Rennes drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Rennes): shots 10–9, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.71–1.11, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rennes have a visible away split

weak

Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rennes's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rennes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rennes show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rennes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsLe Havre · Rennes12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreRennesBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against8.43 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsLe Havre 10 shots, Stade Rennais 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsLe Havre 2 shots, Stade Rennais 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG1.11 xGLe Havre 1.71 xG, Stade Rennais 1.11 xG
  • Possession43%57%Le Havre 43%, Stade Rennais 57%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersLe Havre 3 corners, Stade Rennais 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsLe Havre 13 fouls, Stade Rennais 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsLe Havre 1 card, Stade Rennais 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alidu Seidu · Rennes · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLoic Négo · Le Havre · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Rennes · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGodson Kyeremeh · Le Havre · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDjaoui Cissé · Rennes · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetQuentin Merlin · Rennes · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoic Négo · Le Havre · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Rennes · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Rennes · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 29′ · 0.09 xG · goalFelix Mambimbi · Le Havre · 17′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 67′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 79′ · 0.38 xG · goalBreel Embolo · Rennes · 10′ · 0.71 xG · goalIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.76 xG. Rennes: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Issa Soumaré · Le Havre · 45′Rassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 79′Breel Embolo · Rennes · 10′Esteban Lepaul · Rennes · 29′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 1.76 xG · Rennes 1.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Le Havre
1Draws
3Stade Rennais
Le Havre — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–5
Stade Rennais — Le Havre · Ligue 11–0
Le Havre — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–1
Stade Rennais — Le Havre · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre7 matchesStade Rennais7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.26 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots7/712.1 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 3.86 shots/match
46.4%Possession7/7● 52.7%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.43 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls7/712.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLe HavreStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headLe Havre — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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