Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEintracht FrankfurtBayern München
Shots6 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession40%60%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/matchShotsEintracht Frankfurt · Bayern München19.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtBayern MünchenBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match19.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match9.83 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Bayern München in 8 · 4 too close

2.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/64.17 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/60.5 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/619.5 shots/match
13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/69.83 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/69.67 shots/match
5.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/62.33 shots/match
55.8%Possessionseason · 6/662.2%
5.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/65 corners/match
2.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/65 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/62.67 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/610.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/667%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt75
Bayern München97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt79.6
Bayern München97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt31.5
Bayern München96.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt58.3
Bayern München86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt36.1
Bayern München55.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt75
Bayern München44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt59
Bayern München68
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/53.8 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.6 shots/matchShots5/519.6 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/59.6 shots/match
56.4%Possession5/562%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
2.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/64.17 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/60.5 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14.3 shots/matchShots6/619.5 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target6/69.67 shots/match
55.8%Possession6/662.2%
5.83 corners/matchCorners6/65 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards6/62.67 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls6/610.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
2.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/64.17 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/60.5 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14.3 shots/matchShots6/619.5 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target6/69.67 shots/match
55.8%Possession6/662.2%
5.83 corners/matchCorners6/65 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards6/62.67 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls6/610.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/33.33 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14.3 shots/matchShots3/316.7 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/37.67 shots/match
57%Possession3/360%
5.33 corners/matchCorners3/34.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.92 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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