PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025PreZero Arena

TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Köln won 0–1.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.120.94
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Köln beat 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0. Recorded in this match (1899 Hoffenheim – 1. FC Köln): shots 15–10, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.12–0.94, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 15 shots, 1. FC Köln 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 4 shots, 1. FC Köln 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG0.94 xGTSG Hoffenheim 1.12 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.94 xG
  • Possession61%39%TSG Hoffenheim 61%, 1. FC Köln 39%
  • Corners11 corners6 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 11 corners, 1. FC Köln 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls6 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 15 fouls, 1. FC Köln 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardTSG Hoffenheim 3 cards, 1. FC Köln 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Muhammed Damar · 1899 Hoffenheim · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed Damar · 1899 Hoffenheim · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSaid El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFisnik Asllani · 1899 Hoffenheim · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoel Schmied · 1. FC Köln · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFisnik Asllani · 1899 Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSebastian Sebulonsen · 1. FC Köln · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBazoumana Touré · 1899 Hoffenheim · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kamiński · 1. FC Köln · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBazoumana Touré · 1899 Hoffenheim · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFisnik Asllani · 1899 Hoffenheim · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kamiński · 1. FC Köln · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJakub Kamiński · 1. FC Köln · 88′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTim Lemperle · 1899 Hoffenheim · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hranáč · 1899 Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBazoumana Touré · 1899 Hoffenheim · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · 1899 Hoffenheim · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBazoumana Touré · 1899 Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedÍsak Bergmann Jóhannesson · 1. FC Köln · 12′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · 1899 Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMuhammed Damar · 1899 Hoffenheim · 6′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJakub Kamiński · 1. FC Köln · 65′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedSaid El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 63′ · 0.30 xG · on targetBazoumana Touré · 1899 Hoffenheim · 23′ · 0.31 xG · on targetSaid El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 16′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1899 Hoffenheim: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.09 xG. 1. FC Köln: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Said El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1899 Hoffenheim 1.09 xG · 1. FC Köln 1.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2TSG Hoffenheim
2Draws
11. FC Köln
TSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–3
TSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–3
1. FC Köln — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim6 matches1. FC Köln6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.48 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots6/613.5 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.67 shots/match
52% ●Possession6/644.5%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners6/64.83 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls6/69.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Oct 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG Hoffenheim1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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