Bundesliga · 2025Fri, 3 Oct 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timePreZero ArenaFull-time recap

1899 Hoffenheim

WLWLD

0–1Full-time recap

1. FC Köln

WWDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1899 Hoffenheim	1. FC Köln
Shots	15 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	11 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	6 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1899 Hoffenheim favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 6 · 6 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲1.83 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.5 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/613.7 shots/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/615.5 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/64.83 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲4.5 shots/match

52%Possessionseason · 6/644.5%

5.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.83 corners/match

6.17 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/68 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/6▲1.83 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/69.67 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲33%

83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1899 Hoffenheim69.4

1. FC Köln13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1899 Hoffenheim50

1. FC Köln60.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1899 Hoffenheim54.6

1. FC Köln50.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1899 Hoffenheim47.2

1. FC Köln75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim63.9

1. FC Köln22.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim63.9

1. FC Köln41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1899 Hoffenheim66

1. FC Köln41.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.8 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match

54.4%Possession5/543.6%

6 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

1.6 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match

14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.83 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.2 shots/matchShots6/613.7 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target6/64.83 shots/match

52%Possession6/644.5%

5.67 corners/matchCorners6/64.83 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls6/69.67 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.83 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.2 shots/matchShots6/613.7 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target6/64.83 shots/match

52%Possession6/644.5%

5.67 corners/matchCorners6/64.83 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls6/69.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/4▲1.5 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/4▲1.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

15 shots/match▲Shots3/412.3 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/44 shots/match

52.3%Possession3/446.3%

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/44.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/41.75 cards/match

15.3 fouls/matchFouls3/48.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.12 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Oct 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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