Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 13:30 UTCFull timeEuropa-Park-StadionFull-time recap

SC Freiburg

LLWW

1–1Full-time recap

1899 Hoffenheim

WLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	SC Freiburg	1899 Hoffenheim
Shots	6 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Possession	43%	57%
Corners	6 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

SC Freiburg favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · 1899 Hoffenheim in 4 · 6 too close

1.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/52.2 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲12.8 shots/match

13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲12 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲5.2 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/55.2 shots/match

49.6%Possessionseason · 5/550.2%

4.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.6 corners/match

3.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/56.2 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/5▲1.8 cards/match

9.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/515 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/50%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SC Freiburg52.8

1899 Hoffenheim58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SC Freiburg33.3

1899 Hoffenheim58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SC Freiburg62

1899 Hoffenheim51.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SC Freiburg19.4

1899 Hoffenheim47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg25

1899 Hoffenheim55.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg30.6

1899 Hoffenheim30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SC Freiburg20.9

1899 Hoffenheim59

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.8 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

49.6%Possession5/550.2%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.8 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

49.6%Possession5/550.2%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.8 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

49.6%Possession5/550.2%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2.33 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12 shots/match▲Shots3/311.3 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5.67 shots/match

49.7%Possession3/351.7%

6 corners/matchCorners3/34.67 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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