Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 13:30 UTCFull timeVolkswagen ArenaFull-time recap

VfL Wolfsburg

WDDL

0–1Full-time recap

RB Leipzig

LWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	VfL Wolfsburg	RB Leipzig
Shots	22 shots/match▲	20 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	6 corners/match	11 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsVfL Wolfsburg · RB Leipzig17.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	VfL Wolfsburg	RB Leipzig	Baseline
Shots	14.2 shots/match	17.6 shots/match	12.9 shots/match
Shots against	14 shots/match	14.4 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

VfL Wolfsburg favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 7 · 7 too close

1.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.4 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

14.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲17.6 shots/match

14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/514.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲4.6 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲4.2 shots/match

48.4%Possessionseason · 5/548.6%

4.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/56.8 corners/match

7.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲4.4 corners/match

2.2 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/5▲1.2 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲60%

60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfL Wolfsburg38.9

RB Leipzig52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfL Wolfsburg35.2

RB Leipzig57.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfL Wolfsburg58.3

RB Leipzig60.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfL Wolfsburg69.4

RB Leipzig91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg54.1

RB Leipzig12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg44.4

RB Leipzig91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfL Wolfsburg43.7

RB Leipzig63.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

48.4%Possession5/548.6%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

48.4%Possession5/548.6%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

48.4%Possession5/548.6%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match

1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

15.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲17 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33.33 shots/match

49%Possession3/343.3%

5.33 corners/matchCorners3/37 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/31 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.83 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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