Bundesliga · 2025Volkswagen Arena

VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 0–1.

Shots
2220
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
3.052.41
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat VfL Wolfsburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – RB Leipzig): shots 22–20, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 3.05–2.41, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsVfL Wolfsburg · RB Leipzig17.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfL WolfsburgRB LeipzigBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match17.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots20 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 22 shots, RB Leipzig 20 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 4 shots, RB Leipzig 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.05 xG2.41 xGVfL Wolfsburg 3.05 xG, RB Leipzig 2.41 xG
  • Possession51%49%VfL Wolfsburg 51%, RB Leipzig 49%
  • Corners6 corners11 cornersVfL Wolfsburg 6 corners, RB Leipzig 11 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsVfL Wolfsburg 7 fouls, RB Leipzig 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsVfL Wolfsburg 2 cards, RB Leipzig 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Christian Eriksen · VfL Wolfsburg · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Daghim · VfL Wolfsburg · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · RB Leipzig · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEzechiel Banzuzi · RB Leipzig · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 1′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRidle Baku · RB Leipzig · 28′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRidle Baku · RB Leipzig · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdam Daghim · VfL Wolfsburg · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · RB Leipzig · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · RB Leipzig · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDženan Pejčinović · VfL Wolfsburg · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · RB Leipzig · 8′ · 0.05 xG · goalKonstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAssan Ouédraogo · RB Leipzig · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEzechiel Banzuzi · RB Leipzig · 65′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDženan Pejčinović · VfL Wolfsburg · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEzechiel Banzuzi · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKilian Fischer · VfL Wolfsburg · 16′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · RB Leipzig · 34′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMoritz Jenz · VfL Wolfsburg · 4′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 42′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 55′ · 0.18 xG · on targetDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 60′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRômulo · RB Leipzig · 66′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · RB Leipzig · 25′ · 0.20 xG · on targetEzechiel Banzuzi · RB Leipzig · 69′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 33′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 63′ · 0.25 xG · on targetKonstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 53′ · 0.27 xG · on targetAdam Daghim · VfL Wolfsburg · 65′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 56′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedChristian Eriksen · VfL Wolfsburg · 77′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 22 shots, 4 on target, 3.05 xG. RB Leipzig: 20 shots, 6 on target, 2.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Johan Bakayoko · RB Leipzig · 8′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 3.05 xG · RB Leipzig 2.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2VfL Wolfsburg
0Draws
3RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–3
RB Leipzig — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–5
RB Leipzig — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–0
VfL Wolfsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1
VfL Wolfsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg5 matchesRB Leipzig5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.05 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 17.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4.6 shots/match
48.4%Possession5/5● 48.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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