Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeRed Bull ArenaFull-time recap

RB Leipzig

LWW

3–1Full-time recap

1. FC Köln

WWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	RB Leipzig	1. FC Köln
Shots	18 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Possession	47%	53%
Corners	9 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/match▲ShotsRB Leipzig · 1. FC Köln14.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	RB Leipzig	1. FC Köln	Baseline
Shots	17 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	13.2 shots/match
Shots against	12.5 shots/match	15.8 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

RB Leipzig favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 0 · 14 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42.25 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.75 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

17 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/414.3 shots/match

12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/415.8 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.5 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.5 shots/match

48.5%Possessionseason · 4/446.3%

5.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/43.75 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/47.25 corners/match

1 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

RB Leipzig33.3

1. FC Köln19.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

RB Leipzig50.9

1. FC Köln62.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

RB Leipzig60.2

1. FC Köln38

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

RB Leipzig91.7

1. FC Köln75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig16.7

1. FC Köln27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig69.4

1. FC Köln22.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

RB Leipzig54.2

1. FC Köln41

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.25 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

17 shots/match▲Shots4/414.3 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.5 shots/match

48.5%Possession4/446.3%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.25 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

17 shots/match▲Shots4/414.3 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.5 shots/match

48.5%Possession4/446.3%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.25 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

17 shots/match▲Shots4/414.3 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.5 shots/match

48.5%Possession4/446.3%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 3 matches

—Goals scored2/31.67 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/32 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots2/313 shots/match

—Shots on target2/34 shots/match

—Possession2/348.7%

—Corners2/34 corners/match

—Cards2/32 cards/match

—Fouls2/39.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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