PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 1–0.

Shots
129
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.10.8
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat VfL Wolfsburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 12–9, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.1–0.8, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Wolfsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

VfL Wolfsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · VfL Wolfsburg12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Shots12 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against9.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.3% ●PossessionBorussia Dortmund · VfL Wolfsburg47.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Possession61.3%47.8%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsBorussia Dortmund 12 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsBorussia Dortmund 4 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG0.8 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.1 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 0.8 xG
  • Possession56%44%Borussia Dortmund 56%, VfL Wolfsburg 44%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersBorussia Dortmund 9 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsBorussia Dortmund 10 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsBorussia Dortmund 1 card, VfL Wolfsburg 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vinícius Souza · VfL Wolfsburg · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 20′ · 0.01 xG · goalKonstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Skov Olsen · VfL Wolfsburg · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKamil Grabara · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Svensson · Borussia Dortmund · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 75′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 44′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 34′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 58′ · 0.50 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.07 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 9 shots, 0 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 1.07 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 0.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Borussia Dortmund
1Draws
0VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga4–0
VfL Wolfsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–3
VfL Wolfsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1
Borussia Dortmund — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–0
Borussia Dortmund — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga6–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund4 matchesVfL Wolfsburg4 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.75 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
1.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.34 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots4/412.3 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43.5 shots/match
61.3% ●Possession4/447.8%
4.75 corners/match ●Corners4/44.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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