Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 15:30 UTCFull timeBayArenaFull-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBayer LeverkusenBorussia Mönchengladbach
Shots13 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match7 shots/match
Possession62%38%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards5 cards/match5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bayer Leverkusen favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Mönchengladbach in 0 · 14 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/40.25 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.5 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
12 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/416 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/411.3 shots/match
5.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45.75 shots/match
54%Possessionseason · 4/450.8%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/47.5 corners/match
4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.75 corners/match
3.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.25 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/412.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/425%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayer Leverkusen75
Borussia Mönchengladbach52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayer Leverkusen56.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayer Leverkusen56.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach61.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayer Leverkusen8.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayer Leverkusen62.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach57
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayer Leverkusen55.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayer Leverkusen47.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.25 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12 shots/matchShots4/416 shots/match
5.75 shots/matchShots on target4/45 shots/match
54%Possession4/450.8%
5 corners/matchCorners4/47.5 corners/match
3.75 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.25 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12 shots/matchShots4/416 shots/match
5.75 shots/matchShots on target4/45 shots/match
54%Possession4/450.8%
5 corners/matchCorners4/47.5 corners/match
3.75 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.25 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12 shots/matchShots4/416 shots/match
5.75 shots/matchShots on target4/45 shots/match
54%Possession4/450.8%
5 corners/matchCorners4/47.5 corners/match
3.75 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
Expected goals0/0
12.7 shots/matchShots3/2
6.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2
53.7%Possession3/2
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
4 cards/matchCards3/2
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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