Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 13:30 UTCFull timeStadion An der Alten FörstereiFull-time recap

Union Berlin

WL

2–4Full-time recap

1899 Hoffenheim

WL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Union Berlin	1899 Hoffenheim
Shots	20 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	9 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: 1899 Hoffenheim have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.7 fouls/match▲FoulsUnion Berlin · 1899 Hoffenheim14.3 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Union Berlin	1899 Hoffenheim	Baseline
Fouls	13.7 fouls/match	14.3 fouls/match	10.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

1899 Hoffenheim have recorded the higher season possession share.

34%▲PossessionUnion Berlin · 1899 Hoffenheim52%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Union Berlin	1899 Hoffenheim	Baseline
Possession	34%	52%	51.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Union Berlin favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · 1899 Hoffenheim in 0 · 14 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32.33 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312 shots/match

13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/312 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/36 shots/match

6.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35 shots/match

34%Possessionseason · 3/352%

6.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/33.33 corners/match

5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/36.67 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32.33 cards/match

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/314.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Union Berlin3.6

1899 Hoffenheim57.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Union Berlin40.5

1899 Hoffenheim57.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Union Berlin19

1899 Hoffenheim50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Union Berlin96.4

1899 Hoffenheim39.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Union Berlin46.4

1899 Hoffenheim71.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Union Berlin85.7

1899 Hoffenheim14.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Union Berlin62.5

1899 Hoffenheim55.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2.33 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.3 shots/match▲Shots3/312 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲6 shots/match

34%Possession3/352%

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.33 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match

13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/314.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2.33 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.3 shots/match▲Shots3/312 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲6 shots/match

34%Possession3/352%

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.33 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match

13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/314.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2.33 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.3 shots/match▲Shots3/312 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲6 shots/match

34%Possession3/352%

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.33 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match

13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/314.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards2/2—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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