Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 13:30 UTCFull timeEuropa-Park-StadionFull-time recap

SC Freiburg

LL

3–1Full-time recap

VfB Stuttgart

LW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	SC Freiburg	VfB Stuttgart
Shots	14 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	7 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.67 corners/match▲CornersSC Freiburg · VfB Stuttgart6 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	SC Freiburg	VfB Stuttgart	Baseline
Corners	5.67 corners/match	6 corners/match	5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

SC Freiburg favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 0 · 14 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

14 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/313.7 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/312.3 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.33 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34.67 shots/match

55.7%Possessionseason · 3/360%

5.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/36 corners/match

3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/37.33 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32.33 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/310.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SC Freiburg71.4

VfB Stuttgart82.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SC Freiburg50

VfB Stuttgart46.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SC Freiburg36.9

VfB Stuttgart57.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SC Freiburg46.4

VfB Stuttgart32.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg25

VfB Stuttgart39.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg64.3

VfB Stuttgart75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SC Freiburg50

VfB Stuttgart54.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.67 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14 shots/matchShots3/313.7 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.33 shots/match

55.7%Possession3/360%

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/36 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.67 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14 shots/matchShots3/313.7 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.33 shots/match

55.7%Possession3/360%

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/36 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.67 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14 shots/matchShots3/313.7 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.33 shots/match

55.7%Possession3/360%

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/36 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards2/2—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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