PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Amex Stadium
0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester United won 0–3.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.811.82
Possession
51%49%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 13 shots, Manchester United 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 2 shots, Manchester United 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG1.82 xGBrighton & Hove Albion 0.81 xG, Manchester United 1.82 xG
  • Possession51%49%Brighton & Hove Albion 51%, Manchester United 49%
  • Corners0 corners3 cornersBrighton & Hove Albion 0 corners, Manchester United 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsBrighton & Hove Albion 11 fouls, Manchester United 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardBrighton & Hove Albion 0 cards, Manchester United 1 card

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester United beat Brighton 3–0. Recorded in this match (Brighton – Manchester United): shots 13–11, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.81–1.82, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.82 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Brighton & Hove Albion
0Draws
2Manchester United
Manchester United — Brighton & Hove Albion · FA Cup1–2
Manchester United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League4–2
Manchester United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–3
Brighton & Hove Albion — Manchester United · Premier League2–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Manchester United · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester United in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion38 matchesManchester United38 matches
1.37 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲ 1.82 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed38/381.32 goals/match
1.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.6 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots38/38▲ 15.6 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲ 5.68 shots/match
54.1% ●Possession38/3851.9%
4.87 corners/match ●Corners38/384.76 corners/match
2.48 cards/matchCards29/311.65 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls38/389.74 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion77.5
Manchester United60.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion65.8
Manchester United93.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion80.8
Manchester United78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion37.5
Manchester United97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion85.0
Manchester United16.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion42.5
Manchester United37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5
Manchester United60.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.15 days

Brighton & Hove Albion / Manchester United

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 May 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrighton & Hove AlbionManchester United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headBrighton & Hove Albion — Manchester United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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