Premier League · 2025Mon, 13 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeOld TraffordFull-time recap

Manchester United

WWLWD

1–2Full-time recap

Leeds

DLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Manchester United	Leeds
Shots	20 shots/match▲	15 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	1.47 xG/match	2.37 xG/match▲
Possession	52%	48%
Corners	11 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leeds's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Leeds's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leeds's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1.22 goals/match	1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.9 shots/match▲ShotsManchester United · Leeds12.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Manchester United	Leeds	Baseline
Shots	15.9 shots/match	12.6 shots/match	12.6 shots/match
Shots against	11.1 shots/match	12.2 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Manchester United

1Draws

0Leeds

4 Jan 2026Leeds — Manchester United · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Leeds in 2 · 5 too close

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/321.22 goals/match

1.41 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 32/321.53 goals/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.34 xG/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.83 xG/match

15.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/3212.6 shots/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 32/3212.2 shots/match

5.84 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/323.94 shots/match

3.72 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 32/324.06 shots/match

53.1%Possessionseason · 32/3245.7%

4.78 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/324.5 corners/match

4.81 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/32▲4.56 corners/match

1.65 cards/matchCardsseason · 31/311.68 cards/match

9.63 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3210.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/32▲19%

91%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3266%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United72.5

Leeds27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United94.2

Leeds40.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United70.8

Leeds46.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United97.5

Leeds92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United12.5

Leeds37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United42.5

Leeds27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United60

Leeds41.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.34 xG/match

16.4 shots/match▲Shots5/514.2 shots/match

7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/548.4%

7.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.34 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1012 shots/match

6.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match

53.4%Possession10/1045.7%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

2.11 cards/matchCards9/92.22 cards/match

9.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored32/321.22 goals/match

1.41 goals/match▲Goals allowed32/321.53 goals/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.34 xG/match

15.9 shots/match▲Shots32/3212.6 shots/match

5.84 shots/match▲Shots on target32/323.94 shots/match

53.1%Possession32/3245.7%

4.78 corners/matchCorners32/324.5 corners/match

1.65 cards/matchCards31/311.68 cards/match

9.63 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.94 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.06 goals/match

1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.81 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

17.5 shots/match▲Shots16/1610.8 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.63 shots/match

52.8%Possession16/1643.3%

5.19 corners/matchCorners16/163.44 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards15/161.88 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/123 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Leeds's recent record differs from the season

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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