PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Stamford Bridge

Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United · Premier League

Chelsea

LWLLL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester United won 0–1.

Shots
214
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.550.29
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester United beat Chelsea 1–0. Recorded in this match (Chelsea – Manchester United): shots 21–4, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.55–0.29, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.61 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots4 shotsChelsea 21 shots, Manchester United 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotChelsea 3 shots, Manchester United 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.55 xG0.29 xGChelsea 1.55 xG, Manchester United 0.29 xG
  • Possession59%41%Chelsea 59%, Manchester United 41%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerChelsea 7 corners, Manchester United 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsChelsea 12 fouls, Manchester United 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsChelsea 1 card, Manchester United 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Chelsea
1Draws
2Manchester United
Manchester United — Chelsea · Premier League2–1
Chelsea — Manchester United · Premier League1–0
Manchester United — Chelsea · Premier League1–1
Chelsea — Manchester United · Premier League4–3
Manchester United — Chelsea · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester United in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea33 matchesManchester United33 matches
1.61 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.76 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.36 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.09 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 15.6 shots/match
4.58 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 5.7 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession33/3352.8%
6.18 corners/match ●Corners33/334.67 corners/match
2.76 cards/matchCards29/311.65 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls33/339.73 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChelseaManchester United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headChelsea — Manchester United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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