Premier League · 2025Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap

Tottenham

LLDLL

2–2Full-time recap

Brighton

WLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham	Brighton
Shots	13 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.08 xG/match▲	0.89 xG/match
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	7 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.27 goals/match	1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

11.8 fouls/match▲FoulsTottenham · Brighton12.1 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham	Brighton	Baseline
Fouls	11.8 fouls/match	12.1 fouls/match	10.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Tottenham

1Draws

0Brighton

20 Sept 2025Brighton — Tottenham · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Brighton in 6 · 8 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/33▲1.36 goals/match

1.61 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/33▲1.18 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.67 xG/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/33▲12.8 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3312.2 shots/match

3.97 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/33▲4.45 shots/match

4.24 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/334.03 shots/match

49.5%Possessionseason · 33/3352.9%

5.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/334.67 corners/match

4.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/335 corners/match

2.76 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/29▲2.48 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3312.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/33▲24%

79%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3379%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham47.5

Brighton70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham40

Brighton60.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham25

Brighton62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham17.5

Brighton42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham88.8

Brighton90

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham62.5

Brighton35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham56.2

Brighton63.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.67 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

44.8%Possession5/553.6%

7.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.2 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.67 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots10/1011.4 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.4 shots/match

43.8%Possession10/1053.8%

5.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards6/62.33 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches

1.27 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲1.36 goals/match

1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲1.18 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.67 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots33/33▲12.8 shots/match

3.97 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲4.45 shots/match

49.5%Possession33/3352.9%

5.27 corners/matchCorners33/334.67 corners/match

2.76 cards/matchCards29/292.48 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches

1.18 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.24 goals/match

1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲1.29 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.46 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots17/1711.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target17/174.12 shots/match

51.2%Possession17/1751.6%

5.71 corners/matchCorners17/174.29 corners/match

3.2 cards/matchCards15/143.21 cards/match

12.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated fouls records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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