Premier League · 2025Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeElland RoadFull-time recap

Leeds

DDLLD

0–0Full-time recap

Brentford

DLWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leeds	Brentford
Shots	14 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.53 xG/match▲	0.46 xG/match
Possession	57%	43%
Corners	6 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leeds's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Leeds's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Leeds's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leeds's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	1.19 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leeds have a visible home split

moderate

Leeds's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.4 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Leeds

1Draws

0Brentford

14 Dec 2025Brentford — Leeds · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Leeds favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Brentford in 3 · 7 too close

1.19 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/31▲1.48 goals/match

1.55 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/31▲1.35 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

12.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 31/3110.3 shots/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 31/3112.6 shots/match

3.87 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/313.94 shots/match

3.9 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/313.97 shots/match

45.6%Possessionseason · 31/3147.2%

4.52 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/314.77 corners/match

4.35 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 31/315.06 corners/match

1.67 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 30/291.97 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3111 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/31▲26%

65%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3168%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leeds27.5

Brentford37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leeds43.3

Brentford48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leeds51.7

Brentford53.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leeds87.5

Brentford7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leeds35

Brentford62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leeds27.5

Brentford47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leeds42.5

Brentford48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

14 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match

45.4%Possession5/551%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/31.33 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.3 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match

45.5%Possession10/1049%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

2.11 cards/matchCards9/82 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches

1.19 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲1.48 goals/match

1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲1.35 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.5 shots/match▲Shots31/3110.3 shots/match

3.87 shots/matchShots on target31/313.94 shots/match

45.6%Possession31/3147.2%

4.52 corners/matchCorners31/314.77 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards30/291.97 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3111 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.25 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.56 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14.4 shots/match▲Shots16/169.31 shots/match

4.25 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.81 shots/match

48%Possession16/1648.4%

5.56 corners/matchCorners16/165.44 corners/match

1.47 cards/matchCards15/152.2 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4