Premier League · 2025Mon, 16 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeBrentford Community StadiumFull-time recap

Brentford

WDLWD

2–2Full-time recap

Wolves

DDLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brentford	Wolves
Shots	10 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.56 xG/match▲	1.33 xG/match
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	1 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Wolves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Wolves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	0.77 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolves show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wolves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match▲ShotsBrentford · Wolves9.19 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Brentford	Wolves	Baseline
Shots	10.5 shots/match	9.19 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	12.6 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Brentford

0Draws

0Wolves

20 Dec 2025Wolves — Brentford · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Wolves in 0 · 4 too close

1.53 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 30/310.77 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 30/311.74 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

10.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 30/319.19 shots/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 30/3113.8 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/313.26 shots/match

3.97 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 30/314.61 shots/match

47.3%Possessionseason · 30/3143.2%

4.87 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/313.19 corners/match

5.03 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 30/316.03 corners/match

1.97 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 29/302.27 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3113.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3113%

70%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3152%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford37.5

Wolves12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford49.2

Wolves5.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford51.7

Wolves14.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford12.5

Wolves2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford61.2

Wolves87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford47.5

Wolves2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford48.1

Wolves28.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.2 shots/match▲Shots5/58.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match

50.6%Possession5/541%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.6 shots/match▲Shots10/109.5 shots/match

3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.4 shots/match

49.8%Possession10/1039.6%

5 corners/matchCorners10/103.1 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards9/92.44 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 31 matches

1.53 goals/match▲Goals scored30/310.77 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed30/311.74 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

10.5 shots/match▲Shots30/319.19 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target30/313.26 shots/match

47.3%Possession30/3143.2%

4.87 corners/matchCorners30/313.19 corners/match

1.97 cards/matchCards29/302.27 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls30/3113.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

1.73 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.47 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.53 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.3 shots/match▲Shots15/158.93 shots/match

4.07 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153 shots/match

45.9%Possession15/1542.6%

4.07 corners/matchCorners15/153.6 corners/match

1.71 cards/matchCards14/142.86 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1514.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 17 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Wolves's recent record differs from the season

Wolves show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match