PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeSelhurst ParkFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

Leeds

WDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCrystal PalaceLeeds
Shots11 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target0 shots/match3 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.56 xG/match1.12 xG/match▲
Possession66%34%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leeds's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Crystal Palace's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Leeds's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leeds's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Crystal Palace have a visible home split

moderate

Crystal Palace's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Crystal Palace
0Draws
1Leeds
Leeds — Crystal Palace · Premier League4–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Leeds in 6 · 5 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/30▲1.23 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 30/301.6 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—
11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/30▲12.4 shots/match
11.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 30/3012.2 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/30▲3.87 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/30▲3.97 shots/match
46.1%Possessionseason · 30/3045.2%
4.23 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/304.47 corners/match
4.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/30▲4.43 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCardsseason · 30/30▲1.67 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3010.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
37%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3017%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3067%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace32.5
Leeds27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace30
Leeds44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace63.3
Leeds44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace67.5
Leeds87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace63.8
Leeds35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace17.5
Leeds30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace35
Leeds41.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
12.6 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/540.8%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
11.4 shots/matchShots10/1011.9 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.6 shots/match
52.1%Possession10/1043.5%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲1.23 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed30/301.6 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
11.6 shots/matchShots30/30▲12.4 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲3.87 shots/match
46.1%Possession30/3045.2%
4.23 corners/matchCorners30/304.47 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards30/301.67 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.87 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots15/1510.5 shots/match
3.87 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.47 shots/match
47.8%Possession15/1543%
4.53 corners/matchCorners15/153.4 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards15/151.87 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.75 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/111.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCrystal PalaceLeeds
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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